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Cycle chart
The full log-scale history with every cycle top and bottom dated, and shading for the four market phases — accumulation, bull, distribution, bear.
FreeKnow where you are in the cycle
Move your cursor over the chart. Left and right reads a month. Up and down picks a price level — and the chart tells you every time bitcoin traded through it, and which cycle top or bottom is sitting there.
Log scale, real month closes since 2013. * the 2021 first top and the 2026 low are marked provisional — one is a double-top shoulder, the other is a low that has not been confirmed as a cycle bottom.
The full log-scale history with every cycle top and bottom dated, and shading for the four market phases — accumulation, bull, distribution, bear.
FreeThe three completed bears aligned from their tops against the current decline, with the day 363–410 historical bottom window and three price scenarios drawn as bands.
PremiumMonthly and quarterly returns as heatmaps, then re-counted by market regime — because September across all years and September in an accumulation year are opposite reads — plus a forward quarter projection in dollars.
PremiumEvery high-impact USD release, past and coming. What bitcoin actually did on the past ones, measured against a baseline of normal days, and a warning for the ones ahead.
PremiumWhat a leveraged position is paying to stay open, how crowded the book is right now, and what each end of the funding range has actually been worth — counted separately for every market regime.
PremiumThe Fear & Greed index everyone quotes, scored: what each reading was actually followed by, split by regime. The same number on the dial has pointed opposite ways in a bear and an accumulation year.
Premium